Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.450277 0.522552 0.602114 0.696116 0.804066 0.924076 1.067537
2025-05-04 0.338077 0.437907 0.559587 0.718421 0.919876 1.166452 1.490738
2025-05-11 0.271771 0.381078 0.524422 0.725322 0.998693 1.356672 1.859885
2025-05-18 0.224307 0.335792 0.491051 0.721676 1.053943 1.513443 2.194884
2025-05-25 0.187907 0.297931 0.459429 0.711778 1.093798 1.647545 2.507395
2025-06-01 0.161049 0.268926 0.434941 0.706386 1.135862 1.784956 2.834709
2025-06-08 0.135881 0.238161 0.402658 0.683196 1.145564 1.871794 3.091027
2025-06-15 0.128005 0.234172 0.411687 0.725849 1.262485 2.134157 3.645941
2025-06-22 0.109983 0.210001 0.383845 0.703045 1.267953 2.216494 3.915143
2025-06-29 0.095102 0.189153 0.358769 0.681275 1.271483 2.293979 4.181060
2025-07-06 0.083212 0.172082 0.338083 0.664362 1.280717 2.380497 4.468605
2025-07-13 0.076604 0.164231 0.333300 0.675910 1.342232 2.563712 4.943739
2025-07-20 0.073304 0.162779 0.340943 0.712845 1.456806 2.856646 5.653131
2025-07-27 0.068439 0.157445 0.340377 0.733732 1.543064 3.105980 6.306676
2025-08-03 0.062763 0.149514 0.333455 0.740679 1.601964 3.307966 6.887248
2025-08-10 0.056831 0.140113 0.322187 0.736954 1.638144 3.467905 7.398279
2025-08-17 0.051096 0.130308 0.308770 0.726856 1.659504 3.599406 7.862988
2025-08-24 0.046373 0.122199 0.298069 0.721355 1.689827 3.751434 8.383066
2025-08-31 0.040970 0.111609 0.280345 0.697694 1.677286 3.811716 8.713837
2025-09-07 0.040336 0.113003 0.290932 0.741211 1.820937 4.219786 9.831427
2025-09-14 0.035833 0.103642 0.274412 0.717946 1.807548 4.282153 10.192304
2025-09-21 0.031899 0.095203 0.259094 0.695734 1.794084 4.342636 10.553571
2025-09-28 0.028642 0.088139 0.246371 0.678477 1.790624 4.425252 10.972341